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VST (VST) — Downtrend in force
VST (VST) is trading at $149.04, +8.45 (+6.01%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -14.2% move. Price is -15.7% from its 6-month high and +10.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
VST (VST) is trading at $149.04. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -14.2% move.
Price is -15.7% from the 6-month high and +10.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($146.46, +1.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($153.96).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $149.04, upper $168.51, middle $150.82, lower $133.13. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 23.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.03, signal $-3.09, histogram +0.055.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.75). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($149.04) is -4.5% below the anchored VWAP ($156.00). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $149.04. Resistance above: $149.28, $156.24, $159.43. Support below: $147.09, $142.15, $134.75.
Watch $149.28 as the first upside level to clear, and $147.09 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$149.28
Resistance
$156.24
Resistance
$159.43
Support
$147.09
Support
$142.15
Support
$134.75
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-14.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($153.96).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 46 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.055) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.45).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.75) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($156.00).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:28.102029861Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.