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Walmart Inc. (WMT) — Uptrend in force
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is trading at $115.45, +3.59 (+3.21%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -10.4% move. Price is -14.0% from its 6-month high and +6.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is trading at $115.45. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -10.4% move.
Price is -14.0% from the 6-month high and +6.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($112.87, +2.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($114.49).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $115.45, upper $116.19, middle $112.14, lower $108.08. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 7.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 66.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.17, signal $-0.54, histogram +0.710.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.94) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($115.45) is -4.3% below the anchored VWAP ($120.60). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $115.45. Resistance above: $115.88, $118.09, $120.40. Support below: $113.60, $112.07, $110.50.
Watch $115.88 as the first upside level to clear, and $113.60 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$115.88
Resistance
$118.09
Resistance
$120.40
Support
$113.60
Support
$112.07
Support
$110.50
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-10.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($114.49).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 67 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.710) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.91).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($120.60).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:28.033437035Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.