XEL (XEL) — Downtrend in force
XEL (XEL) is trading at $71.40, +1.6 (+1.21%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -11.2% move. Price is -13.9% from its 6-month high and +2.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
XEL (XEL) is trading at $71.40. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -11.2% move.
Price is -13.9% from the 6-month high and +2.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($71.26) and below the 50-day SMA ($75.60).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $71.40, upper $76.76, middle $72.36, lower $67.95. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 12.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.54, signal $-1.68, histogram +0.139.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.97) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($71.40) is -8.6% below the anchored VWAP ($78.08). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $71.40. Resistance above: $76.12, $77.06, $77.91. Support below: $68.72, $67.95.
Watch $76.12 as the first upside level to clear, and $68.72 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$76.12
Resistance
$77.06
Resistance
$77.91
Support
$68.72
Support
$67.95
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-11.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($75.60).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.139) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.39).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($78.08).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:18:00.212970843Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.