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XYZ (XYZ) — Uptrend in force
XYZ (XYZ) is trading at $82.87, +3.87 (+4.9%) on the session. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is up with a +63.1% move. Price is -2.1% from its 6-month high and +63.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
XYZ (XYZ) is trading at $82.87. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is **up** with a +63.1% move.
Price is -2.1% from the 6-month high and +63.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($81.31, +1.9%) and above the 50-day SMA ($77.10).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $82.87, upper $85.36, middle $80.66, lower $75.97. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 61.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.07, signal $1.27, histogram -0.196.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.74). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($82.87) is +21.2% above the anchored VWAP ($68.37). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $82.87. Resistance above: $84.02, $85.36, $86.75. Support below: $81.68, $80.36, $77.23.
Watch $84.02 as the first upside level to clear, and $81.68 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$84.02
Resistance
$85.36
Resistance
$86.75
Support
$81.68
Support
$80.36
Support
$77.23
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+63.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($77.10).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 61 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.196) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.74).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.74) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($68.37).
Generated from 124 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:31.182603492Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.